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The president-elect’s aggressive claims about potential territorial expansion are a crash course for allies in his negotiating tactics

“Our industry does seem to love complexity and to abhor simplicity”

An HTSI series celebrating creatives who strike a chord

The results of an informal contest offer insights into how to make your predictions for the next year more accurate

Can talks between the US and Russia reach a lasting settlement over Ukraine? So far, argues historian Margaret MacMillan, the signs are not looking good

Statistician David Spiegelhalter’s instructive new book shifts from trivial issues of probability to the risk of getting cancer

In troubled times, the life-affirming power of paintings offers respite — and moves us towards compassion

Creatives are branching out this season. Why?

Allies of the ruling family have fled while coastal areas from which the regime drew support are celebrating its downfall

Even before the Trump administration’s slash and burn approach, international assistance was ripe for a rethink