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Can talks between the US and Russia reach a lasting settlement over Ukraine? So far, argues historian Margaret MacMillan, the signs are not looking good

Statistician David Spiegelhalter’s instructive new book shifts from trivial issues of probability to the risk of getting cancer

In troubled times, the life-affirming power of paintings offers respite — and moves us towards compassion

Creatives are branching out this season. Why?

Allies of the ruling family have fled while coastal areas from which the regime drew support are celebrating its downfall

Even before the Trump administration’s slash and burn approach, international assistance was ripe for a rethink

How a $67bn deal went wrong

After a multimillion-euro renovation, the 15th-century castle has reopened as a lavish — and very Austrian — lakeside retreat

Analysis of the chancellor’s cuts to national insurance and changes to Isas and pensions

Also in this newsletter: the EU green envoys on a joint mission to China